ethiopia
flag of Ethiopia
Limiting global warming to 1.5°C rather than 3°C avoids 70% of the increased human exposure to drought and over half of the crop yield loss
Additional people exposed to climate change risks (millions)
Drought
2.1 million 1.5C 3.7 million 2C 7.1 million 3C 10.4 million 4C
Fluvial flooding
0.0 million 1.5C 0.0 million 2C 0.1 million 3C 0.1 million 4C
Economic impact of fluvial flooding (millions USD)
*Total of Direct and Indirect impacts
Economic impact
$73 M 1.5C $91 M 2C $157 M 3C $204 M 4C
Crop yield loss and gain (percent)
Maize
-6.5 % 1.5C -9.2 % 2C -14.4 % 3C -19.3 % 4C
Wheat
-4.3 % 1.5C -6.3 % 2C -10.5 % 3C -14.7 % 4C
Soy Bean
-1.6 % 1.5C -2.6 % 2C -5.0 % 3C -7.8 % 4C
Rice
0.5 % 1.5C 0.4 % 2C -0.2 % 3C -1.5 % 4C
GDP Loss (percent)
-0.02 % 1.5C -0.03 % 2C -0.04 % 3C -0.06 % 4C
Three quarters of the country is a refuge for biodiversity at 1.5°C warming, compared to one quarter of the country at 3°C
Biodiversity loss (percent)
Climate refugia for plants remaining
(% country land area)
86.0 % 1.5C 58.0 % 2C 16.0 % 3C 8.0 % 4C
Climate refugia for vertebrates remaining
(% country land area)
71.0 % 1.5C 48.0 % 2C 21.0 % 3C 9.0 % 4C
Loss of pollination as ecosystem service
22.3 % 1.5C 28.4 % 2C 41.6 % 3C 50.1 % 4C
Population year 2000. Climate baseline period 1961-1990. Coastal flooding assumes existing sea-defences are maintained. Economic climate projections baseline 1985-2015. Economic & annual GDP baseline 2011.
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